Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.334329 0.396405 0.465695 0.548613 0.644976 0.753261 0.883994
2025-02-09 0.249670 0.332081 0.433936 0.568378 0.740391 0.952241 1.231970
2025-02-16 0.193523 0.280547 0.396553 0.561079 0.786718 1.083360 1.500530
2025-02-23 0.152076 0.237278 0.358374 0.540783 0.805778 1.173333 1.717416
2025-03-02 0.120708 0.201255 0.322510 0.515199 0.809687 1.237693 1.900012
2025-03-09 0.106905 0.188757 0.318211 0.533531 0.877012 1.396181 2.229837
2025-03-16 0.088408 0.165210 0.292728 0.514496 0.883274 1.462135 2.425154
2025-03-23 0.078989 0.155237 0.287390 0.526386 0.938473 1.606820 2.753168
2025-03-30 0.070752 0.145884 0.281511 0.535997 0.989923 1.748889 3.087996
2025-04-06 0.061725 0.133486 0.268348 0.530732 1.014516 1.847699 3.358530
2025-04-13 0.054275 0.122887 0.256898 0.526778 1.040244 1.949549 3.641281
2025-04-20 0.050287 0.118672 0.256950 0.544143 1.106008 2.125881 4.066742
2025-04-27 0.050434 0.123580 0.276192 0.602076 1.255770 2.468734 4.823954
2025-05-04 0.046884 0.119809 0.277353 0.624267 1.339574 2.699311 5.398234
2025-05-11 0.041207 0.110145 0.264710 0.616329 1.362704 2.817938 5.773652
2025-05-18 0.035266 0.098734 0.246555 0.594193 1.354184 2.874407 6.034445
2025-05-25 0.029810 0.087466 0.227006 0.566281 1.330110 2.897357 6.230603
2025-06-01 0.028024 0.085404 0.228632 0.586283 1.410562 3.136318 6.873775
2025-06-08 0.024148 0.076946 0.213578 0.565515 1.398932 3.184931 7.134300
2025-06-15 0.022484 0.074368 0.212745 0.578488 1.464258 3.399224 7.751884
2025-06-22 0.020855 0.071591 0.211004 0.588973 1.524750 3.607710 8.372221
2025-06-29 0.018697 0.066789 0.203217 0.583230 1.546292 3.732903 8.823240
2025-07-06 0.016838 0.062549 0.196330 0.578915 1.570704 3.866102 9.301048